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Study instructions

Market
forecasting

You will make a series of market predictions. In each round you will see two figures — a recent reported figure and a market forecast — and submit your own prediction.

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20 rounds in total

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Full analysis of your predictions shown at the end

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The market forecast may or may not be accurate

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Takes approximately 8–10 minutes

No personal information is collected.

Last month's figure

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thousands of users

Market forecast

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thousands of users

thousands of users

Rounds 1–5 results

Batch
results

Study complete

Your decision
profile

Reference alignment

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mean anchoring bias index

Accuracy drift

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error trend across rounds

Forecast usage

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signal independence index

Pattern stability

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trajectory lock-in

Forecast sensitivity

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bias elasticity

Correction tendency

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anchor displacement sensitivity

Reference alignment by round

← independent aligned →

Cognitive state sequence

Analysing your decision pattern...

Thank you for participating. Your responses have been recorded as part of an independent research program on sequential decision-making.

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